Event-Driven Trading Risk
Trading around mergers, earnings, regulatory decisions and other corporate events draws close regulatory scrutiny. Enforcement staff reconstruct how information about an event moved and set that timeline against the timeline of trades. We test that alignment before regulators do: how information about the event reached the firm, who had access to it, when positions were built, and whether public information explains the trading pattern.
The review covers trading in economically linked securities. The SEC pursued that “shadow trading” theory in SEC v. Panuwat, No. 4:21-cv-06322 (N.D. Cal.), and won a jury verdict in April 2024. The case is on appeal to the Ninth Circuit.